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Notes from Predict

Product launches, market analyses, and engineering posts from the team building the prediction-market infrastructure.

  • Jan 15, 2026

    How prediction markets called the 2024 election

    A look at how Predict's election markets stacked up against the polls and what we learned.

  • Dec 20, 2025

    Building real-time settlement at scale

    The infrastructure choices behind sub-second resolution on millions of contracts.

  • Dec 02, 2025

    What 12 months of Fed-rate markets taught us

    Comparing Predict-implied probabilities to consensus surveys across the FOMC cycle.

  • Nov 14, 2025

    Behind the scenes: writing market rules

    How our markets team turns ambiguous real-world events into resolvable contracts.

  • Oct 29, 2025

    Introducing the Creator Program

    Build markets the world wants to trade — and earn a cut of the volume.

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© 2026 Predict Inc.

Trading on Predict involves risk and may not be appropriate for all participants. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources.

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